The resolution contract
Fixed when the question was written — what happens is checked against this, not against vibes. Ambiguous? It resolves N/A and everyone is refunded.
- Resolution criteria
- Use the median "Main Story" figure from HowLongToBeat once it has ≥30 submitted times, cross-checked by the council. Buckets by that median.
- Source of truth
- HowLongToBeat "Main Story" median (≥30 entries), council-verified.
- Resolves
- Within 6 weeks of launch (needs enough completions).
- N/A (refund) if
- HLTB fails to reach 30 entries within the window, or its median sits within 5% of a bucket boundary with a wide spread.
- Resolution deadline
- Nov 26, 2026
How payouts work
Parimutuel: all stakes pool together. When the question resolves, winners get their stake back plus a share of the losers’ points, proportional to stake weight. No house, no odds-setting — the crowd IS the odds.