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BM-14 — Take-Two share price reaction (launch week) · Leonida Futures

Business & MetaBM-14Live · locks Nov 19, 2026, 00:00 UTC

Take-Two share price reaction (launch week)

Take-Two (TTWO) closing share price change from the trading day before launch to the Friday of launch week.

Staking locks Nov 19, 2026, 00:00 UTC

The pool

0 VC$ · 0 weighted

Outcomestakedshare
Down >3%0 VC$0%
Flat (±3%)0 VC$0%
Up 3–10%0 VC$0%
Up >10%0 VC$0%

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The resolution contract

Fixed when the question was written — what happens is checked against this, not against vibes. Ambiguous? It resolves N/A and everyone is refunded.

Resolution criteria: Percent change in TTWO closing price from the last close before Nov 19 to the close of launch week's final trading day. Bucket by that change.
Source of truth: Public market data (TTWO close prices).
Resolves: End of launch week.
N/A (refund) if: Markets are closed the entire window (impossible in practice).
Resolution deadline: Nov 26, 2026

How payouts work

Parimutuel: all stakes pool together. When the question resolves, winners get their stake back plus a share of the losers’ points, proportional to stake weight. No house, no odds-setting — the crowd IS the odds.