The resolution contract
Fixed when the question was written — what happens is checked against this, not against vibes. Ambiguous? It resolves N/A and everyone is refunded.
- Resolution criteria
- The day-one/launch patch download size on the lead console as shown by the platform, verified by ≥2 moderators. Bucket by that size. (Excludes the base install.)
- Source of truth
- Moderator-verified console download size.
- Resolves
- Within 1 week of launch.
- N/A (refund) if
- No distinct day-one patch exists (base install only), or reported sizes disagree across a bucket boundary irreconcilably.
- Resolution deadline
- Nov 26, 2026
How payouts work
Parimutuel: all stakes pool together. When the question resolves, winners get their stake back plus a share of the losers’ points, proportional to stake weight. No house, no odds-setting — the crowd IS the odds.