Business & MetaBM-09Live · locks Nov 19, 2026, 00:00 UTC

Fastest entertainment product to $1B

GTA 6 becomes the fastest entertainment product ever to reach $1B in revenue, beating GTA 5's 3-day record.

Staking locks Nov 19, 2026, 00:00 UTC

The pool

200 VC$ · 200 weighted · 2 forecasters

Outcomestakedshare
YES200 VC$only side
NO0 VC$no stake yet

No opposing stake yet — all 200 VC$ sits on YES. That’s thin one-sided liquidity, not a settled outcome; the split only becomes real odds once someone takes the other side.

Live — updated just now

Take a side

VC$

Recent action

@the_driver backed YES100 VC$39d ago
@catalyst backed YES100 VC$40d ago

The resolution contract

Fixed when the question was written — what happens is checked against this, not against vibes. Ambiguous? It resolves N/A and everyone is refunded.

Resolution criteria: YES if an official/credible report states $1B reached in fewer than 3 days (i.e. faster than GTA 5). Exactly 3 days or slower resolves NO.
Source of truth: A Take-Two/Rockstar official statement if published; otherwise council-endorsed reporting from a named outlet. N/A if no credible figure emerges by the deadline.
Resolves: Within 4 weeks of launch.
N/A (refund) if: No credible time-to-$1B figure is reported within the window.
Resolution deadline: Dec 17, 2026

How payouts work

Parimutuel: all stakes pool together. When the question resolves, winners get their stake back plus a share of the losers’ points, proportional to stake weight. No house, no odds-setting — the crowd IS the odds.