The resolution contract
Fixed when the question was written — what happens is checked against this, not against vibes. Ambiguous? It resolves N/A and everyone is refunded.
- Resolution criteria
- Compute (critic Metascore) − (user score ×10) for the lead console SKU at launch+14. Bucket by the gap. Negative/zero gap → first bucket.
- Source of truth
- Metacritic snapshot at launch + 14 days.
- Resolves
- Launch + 14 days.
- N/A (refund) if
- User score has < 100 ratings at snapshot (too thin to be meaningful).
- Resolution deadline
- Nov 26, 2026
How payouts work
Parimutuel: all stakes pool together. When the question resolves, winners get their stake back plus a share of the losers’ points, proportional to stake weight. No house, no odds-setting — the crowd IS the odds.